Archive for Scottish Independence

The Destruction Of A Nation From The Inside

Posted in America, Britain, David Cameron, Europe, European Union, News, Nuclear Weapons, Royal Air Force, Royal Navy, UK with tags , , , , on 14/09/2014 by floroy1942

Strange though it may seem, the United Kingdom is now in more danger than even during the threat of Nazi invasion in  the dark days of 1940. Britain withstood the might of Hitler during the Second World War by fighting the common foe together, but now, sad to say the threat of destruction comes from the inside, and there is no defence.

Sorry! Couldn't Resist A Dig At Alex!

Sorry! Couldn’t Resist A Dig At Alex!

This all due to one man, Alex Salmond and his ambition to go down in history as the man who ‘freed’ Scotland from Britain after three hundred years.

Yes or NoWith now four days to the referendum on Scotland breaking away from the rest of the United Kingdom, the entire country has reached a crisis point from which it will probably never recover.  It does not matter if Salmond gets a Yes or No vote, irreparable damage has already been done.

The biggest worry will be the economic impact of a Yes vote. Many major companies and banks have already said they will leave Scotland if that happens. Even if the No camp win, there will still be major damage to the U.K. economy. The costs either way will be enormous, and as everyone knows, we can’t afford it.

RBS Pulling Out?

RBS Pulling Out Among Others?

Already we have seen investors pull out a massive £16.6 billion from the British economy because they are running scared of the impact of a Yes vote. Many are indicating that economic chaos will follow in the wake of Salmond getting his way. Even the European Union countries are holding their collective breath, scared that he will win. There can be little doubt that economic turmoil will follow if he does, and that will damage the U.K. economy in ways we have not yet thought about. It will also cause major problems on the international stage, for if Scotland breaks away it will no longer be considered a part of the E.U., and needless to say, Britain’s standing in the international community will also be damaged.

HMS Argyll

HMS Argyll

In today’s newspaper reports, the question of defence has been raised due to the demands on our armed forces Salmond is making if he wins. Should the Scottish people vote in favour of separating from the rest of the U.K. he is demanding that we hand over aircraft, ships and Army regiments to the value of £10 billion to form a Scottish Defence Force. The British Navy is at its lowest level for more than 500 years in the number of ships etc., but Salmond is demanding that Westminster provide 2000 sailors, plus reserves to man the two ships he wants. He will also demand RAF ground-crew and equipment to keep his 12 Typhoons in the air.

Should Cameron be obligated to fulfil this agreement, such a small force would never be able to defend Scotland, and it would weaken the U.K. to the extent where we too would be all but helpless.

Britain's Nuclear Deterrent Based At Faslane

Britain’s Nuclear Deterrent Based At Faslane

At such a challenging time in world history I find this extremely disconcerting, for it reduces the effectiveness of Great Britain’s defence capabilities, and international cooperation with the likes of NATO. Other nations have already intimated their concern at such a move. There is currently talk of Britain’s nuclear deterrent having to move to the United States for it would no longer be able to remain at Faslane in Scotland. Can you imagine such a ridiculous situation, our deterrent based in a country 3,500 miles away?

Even if the No camp win the damage has already been done. Cameron and his cronies have promised more devolution for Scotland in such an event as a measure to sway voters into the No camp. Naturally, as you can expect, Wales and Northern Ireland will want their share of that too, which eventually will mean the slow erosion of what was once the United Kingdom.

English Counties

English Counties

I read an article on devolution from London going even further with more power being handed to cities within the country. Its seems they would be allowed to handle tax-raising and spending powers among other things with directly elected mayors. I suppose you could liken the idea to the American State system.

The one thing that is certain is we need a clear-out in Westminster, for the three main parties have done nothing to alleviate the problems within the country. Labour can best be described as traitorous, the Conservatives as gutless, and the Liberals as a waste of space. The way all three parties have handled this Scotland affair among others, certainly leaves a lot to be desired.

Anyway, come Thursday the Scottish people will sign the death-knell for the country my father, and many of yours, died for during the Second World War.

Roy.

The Scots May Lift Their Skirts To England – Again!

Posted in Britain, David Cameron, Elections, England, Europe, Government, Parliament, UK, United Nations with tags , , , , on 12/02/2013 by floroy1942

The debate about Scotland possibly leaving the United Kingdom has taken another turn this week with independent experts saying that Scotland would be out of the UN, NATO and the EU if they decide to break away from the rest of Britain next year. Something I am sure perhaps even Alec Salmond hasn’t thought of.

Salmond's Dream

Salmond’s Dream

In the opinion of the International Law experts, leaving the UK would give Scotland the status of a “new state” and it would have to re-apply to these bodies for membership. This in itself would perhaps not be such huge hurdle, but what interests me more is the Scottish Nationalist Party’s (SNP) claim that the country would survive economically on its farming, fishing and oil revenues. That I find hard to believe.

Let’s take a closer look at these claims. First of all farming brought in a total of £630m during the year 2008 to the economy. Farming output is around £230billion of which £400m is exported. The rest is for home consumption. Around 75% of Scottish land is given over to agriculture and employs around 65,000 people with a further 250,000 in related industry, which is 1 in 10 of the population. The average income of a Scottish farmer is £40,000 per annum.

Whiskey is another mainstay of the economy in Scotland and contributes £2.7billion to the Scottish Gross Value Added (GVA). The industry employs 10,000 workers and has a gross income of £460m per year. The production of Scotch whiskey provides a further 35,000 associated jobs and creates a value of nearly £3.9 billion each year in profits and wages (GVA) across the Scottish economy.

Scottish Business Doesn't Like The Idea

Scottish Business Doesn’t Like The Idea

By far the biggest problem for Scotland is the oil. Alec Salmond seems to think the country sits on a goldmine of oil and gas that will provide all the country needs in the way of revenue. This is not so! Experts are of the opinion that by 2020 the oil will start drying up and by 2040 is likely to be non-existent. This will prove a major headache for anyone who has placed all their bets on these products to support the economy in the future.

Also, this North Sea ‘gold’ is expensive to extract and is largely dependent on the market price of oil. Should the price drop to around $90 a barrel, 23 billion barrels of oil and gas could still be extracted and a profit made. At $70 a barrel this falls to 16.5 billion barrels, any more and the extraction process costs overtake the profits. Its is estimated that the oil and gas revenues have accounted for 13% and 23% of Scotland’s economy during the past two years which in anyone’s terms is a large slice. So you see that oil is hardly going to keep the Scottish economy afloat for very long.

There is little faith in the minds of economists that the farming and whiskey industries will be sufficient to prop up the economy despite what Alec Salmond and the SNP say. Scotland has seen a constant £41b deficit in its budget, and that includes all the oil and gas revenues. Should Alec Salmond still decide to ‘go it alone’ this will mean severe economic problems for the Scottish people at some point in the future when the government must get the economy figures balanced.

Not The Economy Foundation It Appears To Be

Not The Economy Foundation It Appears To Be

Michael Moore, MP for Scotland said: “….in the last 30 years, the UK and Scottish Governments have spent £197bn more in Scotland than the total tax generated in Scotland.” He continued: “If you had allocated every single penny of oil and gas revenues to Scotland over the past 30 years – a figure of £156 billion – then you would still fall £41 billion short of what both governments have actually invested in Scotland”.

Defence is another thorny issue for Scotland which currently comes under the United Kingdom defence forces. In the event of a break-away, the country will be expected to provide its own defence forces at an estimated cost of £1.8billion. Under present arrangements, Scotland contributes only £0.3billion under the combined UK defence policy so this will add a large amount to Scottish government costs.

When the Scottish people vote to leave the United Kingdom many will not realize exactly what that means, and Alec Salmond is not likely to tell them. The entire infrastructure of the country will need to be overhauled, including the introduction of new government departments in areas where Scotland is currently covered from Westminster. Tax, health, employment, foreign office, defence and many other ministries will need to be set up as the country begins to look after its own business, and all this at a huge cost.

If the split takes place The UK government will have to do much to assist in the setting up of this new land and the cost will be born by the UK taxpayer, but once the transition is complete, the Scottish people should not think they can come back ‘cap in hand’ to Whitehall when the real difficulties start.

What The Scottish People Think

What The Scottish People Think

There is little doubt that should the Scottish people decide to break away from the United Kingdom there will be very hard times ahead and the general public don’t even know the half of it. In my opinion, this whole idea of Scottish independence has come about with one purpose only – to glorify the name of Alec Salmond as the ‘man who led Scotland out from under the English yoke’, and that doesn’t include his political ambitions!

I just hope the Scottish people think long and hard with their minds, and not their hearts when the time comes, for it is a very big and dangerous step to take, attractive though it may seem on the surface.

Roy.

On Scottish Independence

Posted in Britain, David Cameron, England, Government, Parliament, UK with tags , , , , , , on 12/01/2012 by floroy1942

Recently the headlines have been full of the spat between members of the Scottish  Nationalist Party (SNP) and David Cameron the British Prime Minister, which once again has given some publicity to the SNP’s push for Scottish independence from the rest of the United Kingdom. The big question is though; do the Scots really want independence from the rest of Britain?

Alex Salmond – A Man With A Mission?

If you believe Alex Salmond the leader of the SNP, then the answer will be a resounding yes in favour, however, if you look at the result of polls taken among Scottish people then the answer is definitely no! According to a recent poll 54% definitely wanted to stay in the Union while only 29% (mostly under 30’s) wanted full independence for Scotland. I guess the remaining 25% are still trying to decide.

But still Mr. Salmond is going ahead with his referendum, and still he hopes to lead ‘his’ country to independence by ‘hook or by crook’. He even wants the referendum be held on or near the 700th Anniversary of the Battle of Bannockburn on the 24 June 2014 which was a significant Scottish victory in the Wars of Scottish Independence. If ever a day was to inspire Scottish patriotism that would be it, and he obviously hoped it would be enough to swing the vote his way.

N.S. Oil Production is Falling

Independence for Scotland would be fraught with peril, for the country does not have any real industry that can fully support the economy, and that is an important factor. Alex Salmond always used to quote the North Sea oil and gas fields as the main money-maker for Scotland, but they are close to drying up, and will be producing only a third of their peak 1999 production by 2020, and certainly will not sustain the Scottish economy for very long.

Not Enough To Sustain the Economy

The country has always been famous for its fine whiskey, but again, this industry, while well established and an obvious survivor, is nowhere near large enough to prop up the economy. Shipbuilding used to be the major Scottish industry with the shipyards on the Clyde, but the deadly strikes of the fifties were enough to practically kill off the entire industry in the whole of Great Britain. So to be honest, I cannot see how Mr. Salmond hopes to finance his independence in the short or long term.

Ever since the last election he has been beating his gums about leaving the Union even though he must have known from poll results that he was preaching to a minority of Scottish people. I have always had the impression that Alex Salmond is a man with an axe to grind who is determined to tear Scotland away from the rest of Britain no matter what anyone says, including his fellow countrymen!

The Voice Of Reason

In his outburst yesterday he accused David Cameron of ‘dictating conditions’ governing the timing and content of the referendum. It seems to this observer that what the Prime Minister is worried about is the legality of Salmond’s referendum plans. Cameron has never said he is against it, he just wants it to be held in an impartial way and in accordance with the law. In my view he is quite correct when he says that any referendum held for independence in any one of the  four nations that make up the United Kingdom affects the remaining members, and therefore, each must ensure it is correctly done. The British Prime Minister also believes that the referendum should have one basic question put to the Scottish voters: Do you wish for full independence for Scotland – yes or no? Salmond on the other hand is clouding the issue with other questions like: Do you wish to see further devolution? David Cameron has stated that the referendum should be held in 2013 and if Salmond is not willing to do it, he will do it himself.

Scottish Pride

Why for example does Salmond insist that the referendum is held in 2014? Because this is the year of the 700th Bannockburn celebrations, and when Scotland hosts the Commonwealth Games and the Ryder Cup, all events that will give a tremendous boost to Scottish pride. He wants to tag on this future defining referendum during these celebrations as an afterthought? Come on Salmond! – Do you think the Scottish people are stupid and can’t see through your little charade? In a year when Scotland is centre-stage and Scottish pride at its maximum, he hopes that will be enough to swing the much needed votes his way from people who are on a ‘patriotic high’, and may not fully realise the implications of their actions.

If you put all the cards on the table there is not a hope in hell that Scotland can survive on its own economically, which means in effect the country will always be dependent on the rest of the UK. However, if the Scottish people do vote for full independence then they should have to manage on their own without being ‘propped up’ by money from English, Welsh and Northern Irish taxpayers. Fair is fair, you cannot ‘have your cake and eat it too’ as we all know.

Johann Lamont – Plain Speaking

Today (12/1) Salmond is being accused of sleight-of-hand even by members of the Scottish Parliament at Holyrood. Labour SMP Johann Lamont accused Salmond of dictating terms to Holyrood and refusing to allow full government cross-party talks on the subject. Salmond also wants 16 and 17 year-olds to be allowed to vote in the referendum for he knows most of the backing for independence comes from the young Scots today.

I have always believed that Alex Salmond is doing this for Alex Salmond, not for Scotland or any other noble purpose. I think he means to go down in history as the man who brought Scotland ‘out from under England’s shadow’ single-handed, and of course he would not really want the job of Scotland’s first President, but would feel bound to accept it if it were ‘forced ‘ on him by a grateful party. Poppycock Salmond!

The Scottish Government

So you see, if the Scottish people can see through Alex Salmond’s con job in the Scottish Parliament, the whole episode will be a non-event and with luck Salmond’s political career will be over. On the other hand, should he be successful in bamboozling the Scottish voters into voting yes it will be a disastrous day for Scotland, and a sad loss for the rest of the British Isles. I hope common sense prevails.

Roy.

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