Archive for President Assad

The Veto Scandal

Posted in America, Britain, Equality, European Union, Islamic Revolution, Israel, News, Security Council, Summit, United Nations with tags , , , , on 13/04/2017 by floroy1942

Is it any wonder that Russia vetoed the Security Councils resolution on the Syria chemical attack? The veto has been a thorn in the side of the United Nations for the last forty years.

Russian Veto

In my view the only reason Russia is backing Assad is to retain their military bases in Syria. Practically the whole world  blames Assad for the chemical attacks on his own people but Russia still stands by him, and has done since the beginning of the conflict.

Russia has a naval base in Syria on the shores of the Mediterranean Sea given to them by Assad and they don’t want to lose it, which is why they are backing him.

Negotiations have been going on for years trying to stop Assad from using chemical weapons on his own people, but all have failed because of Russia’s backing.

Founders of the United Nations

The veto goes back to the time when the United Nations was formed by Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin after the Second World War and they initiated the veto to stop other countries from putting the world in danger. It has survived up to the present day and many of the decisions made by various countries have stopped positive action being taken against nations that have caused problems. The only exception was the Korean War which took place in 1950. Here the United Nations acted as it was supposed to and stopped the Communists from taking over the whole Korean peninsula.

But when you get to the present day the veto has caused more problems in the world. The United States vetoed any action against Israel during the war with Egypt in 1973 among many others, and Russia has constantly vetoed any action against Assad.

In my view the veto should be scrapped, for all countries must have a say in how the world is run. If it is, then we can stop many conflicts around the world before they get started.

I have for a long time said that the United Nations has a duty to put an end to the ISIS threat once and for all. It should gather a group of nations and go in and wipe them out. Once ISIL has been thoroughly defeated then the world can return to peace, and Islam will get the message that they will never end up ruling the world. Assad should be arrested and put on trial for the atrocities he has committed against his own people.

It is only by the concerted efforts of all countries that this debacle will end. The sad thing is, it will never end until Russia stops backing Assad.

Sad to say, the United Nations has lost its original mandate and become nothing more than a talking shop that does not achieve anything when it comes to world peace. The true purpose of its foundation was lost years ago, and today it does nothing more than verbally ‘condemn’ actions by countries or groups that want to cause trouble.

The Syrian war has been going on for years, but if the United Nations had stepped in positively at the beginning it would have been long over.

It is time for the United Nations to start acting as it was intended, and prevent wars breaking out. If it does not, then we might as well scrap it.

Roy.

Confused By The Situation In Syria? Let Me Explain.

Posted in America, Arab, Britain, Insurgents, Islamic Revolution, Muslim, News, Religion, Terrorism, UK with tags , , , , on 18/11/2015 by floroy1942

All the politics surrounding the situation in Syria is confusing a lot of people, so here is a simple explanation of what is going on:

AssadPresident Assad (who is bad) is a nasty guy who got so nasty his people rebelled and the Rebels (who are good) started winning.

But then some of the rebels turned a bit nasty and are now called Islamic State (who are definitely bad) and some continued to support democracy (who are still good).

So the Americans (who are good) started bombing Islamic State (who are bad) and giving arms to the Syrian Rebels (who are good) so they could fight Assad (who is still bad) which was good.

Kurd LeaderBy the way, there is a breakaway state in the north run by the Kurds who want to fight IS (which is a good thing) but the Turkish authorities think they are bad, so we have to say they are bad whilst secretly thinking they’re good and giving them guns to fight IS (which is good) but that is another matter.

Getting back to Syria. President Putin (bad, as he invaded Crimea and the Ukraine and killed lots of folks including that nice Russian man in London with polonium) has decided to back Assad (who is still bad) by attacking IS (who are also bad) which is sort of a good thing?

PutinBut Putin (still bad) thinks the Syrian Rebels (who are good) are also bad, and so he bombs them too, much to the annoyance of the Americans (who are good) who are busy backing and arming the rebels (who are also good).

Now Iran (who used to be bad, but now they have agreed not to build any nuclear weapons and bomb Israel are now good) are going to provide ground troops to support Assad (still bad) as are the Russians (bad) who now have ground troops and aircraft in Syria.

So a Coalition of Assad (still bad) Putin (extra bad) and the Iranians (good, but in a bad sort of way) are going to attack IS (who are bad) which is a good thing, but also the Syrian Rebels (who are good) which is bad.

CorbinNow the British (obviously good, except Corbin who is probably bad) and the Americans (also good) cannot attack Assad (still bad) for fear of upsetting Putin (bad) and Iran (good / bad) and now they have to accept that Assad might not be that bad after all compared to IS (who are super bad).

So Assad (bad) is now probably good, being better than IS (no real choice there) and since Putin and Iran are also fighting IS that may now make them good. America (still good) will find it hard to arm a group of rebels being attacked by the Russians for fear of upsetting Mr Putin (now good) and that mad ayatollah in Iran (also good) and so they may be forced to say that the Rebels are now bad, or at the very least abandon them to their fate. This will lead most of them to flee to Turkey and on to Europe or join IS (still the only constantly bad group).

Sunni Versus ShiaTo Sunni Muslims, an attack by Shia Muslims (Assad and Iran) backed by Russians will be seen as something of a Holy War, and the ranks of IS will now be seen by the Sunnis as the only Jihadis fighting in the Holy War and hence many Muslims will now see IS as good.

Sunni Muslims will also see the lack of action by Britain and America in support of their Sunni rebel brothers as something of a betrayal (might have a point) and hence we will be seen as bad.

So now we have America (now bad) and Britain (also bad) providing limited support to Sunni Rebels (bad) many of whom are looking to IS (good / bad) for support against Assad (now good) who, along with Iran (also good) and Putin (also, now, unbelievably, good ) are attempting to retake the country Assad used to run before all this started?

I hope this clears up the situation for you.

My thanks to the anonymous author.

Roy.

Confused By Politics – Let Me Explain

Posted in America, Britain, European Union, Insurgents, Iran, Islamic Revolution, News, Terrorism, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , on 01/09/2014 by floroy1942

For those of you who are confused by the current politics in the Middle East let me explain:

We support the Iraqi government in the fight against ISIS.

We don’t like ISIS, but ISIS is supported by Saudi Arabia who we do like.

We don’t like Assad in Syria and we support the fight against him, but ISIS is also fighting against him 

We don’t like Iran, but Iran supports the Iraqi government in its fight against ISIS.

So some of our friends support our enemies 

Some enemies are now our friends and some of our enemies are fighting against our other enemies, who we want to lose.

We don’t, however, want our enemies who are fighting our enemies to win.

If the people we want to defeat are defeated, they could be replaced by people we like even less.

And, all this was started by us invading a country to drive out terrorists who were not actually there until we went in to drive them out!

It’s quite simple, really. I hope that clears everything up for you.

My thanks to the friend who sent this to me, and to the anonymous writer.

Roy.

Reaction To The Scandalous Syria Debate

Posted in America, Arab, Britain, David Cameron, England, News, Politics, UK, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , on 01/09/2013 by floroy1942
Demonstrators On The Streets Of Britain

Demonstrators On The Streets Of Britain

In the beginning I was skeptical about us taking any action in Syria (See last post), but have rapidly become convinced that it is the only way to stop the proliferation of chemical attacks on civilians by the Assad regime, and give a warning to other dictators across the world who may wish to use them.

Having become convinced, and as an educated Brit, I have to hang my head in shame at the attitude of the Labour Party and the general public to the crisis in Syria. All the talk is of David Cameron getting beaten by Ed Miliband in the Commons debate this last week because Miliband changed his mind on the day of the debate, after first agreeing that action should be contemplated. At no time previously did Cameron say we were going to ‘march into war’ against the Assad regime, only that we should be prepared to back the Americans in a targeted missile strike against specific government forces military installations.

This Is The Joker Labour Want Us To Vote For In The Next Election

This Is The Joker Labour Want Us To Vote For In The Next Election

However, clever political manoeuvring by Miliband, who was afraid of his own party and losing electorate backing, made a jump to the other side and scuppered the whole plan. His whole stance has been to curry favour with the electorate, and silence his many critics within his own party. But there again, I suppose we should expect nothing less from this spineless, slimy, individual who leads a political party that successfully brought the country to its knees, shafted the people, and sabotaged its traditions and way of life.

I have spent considerable time reading comments on the various stories as they appeared on Yahoo, and the one thing that surprised me more than anything is that the greater majority of the writers don’t care what is happening there and just want to ‘pull up the drawbridge’. It’s not our problem” – “We should stay out of it” – “Why should our boys be killed in a foreign country?” There are almost 2000 comments on these articles and more then 90% of them are against involvement.

Cruise Missile Submarine Launch

Cruise Missile Submarine Launch

This is despite the fact that at no time was it planned for troops to be involved as the response would be made by cruise missiles from the Americans aimed at strategic military bases of the Assad forces. In short, there would be no ‘boots on the ground’ to use an American expression. But still hundreds are bleating about ‘Our boys getting killed over there’!

It is so easy to look at TV images and newspaper photographs of people suffering and not want to get involved, but all the pictures in the world will not accurately describe the suffering. If I had my way I would ship a few thousand of these dissenters, including Miliband and his acolytes, over to Syria and let then see first hand the results of a chemical weapons attack, and what it does to the human body. I would have them see first-hand the pain and suffering of the ordinary Syrian people in this civil war, and I guarantee you 90% of them would be throwing up at the sight of it and would change their minds in a heartbeat.

The Results Of Sarin Gas Use

The Results Of Sarin Gas Use

Chemical weapons are the most heinous of weapons and assault the innocent as well as military forces, but they were deliberately unleashed on civilians who had nothing to do with the fighting, many of them children I might add. It is a horrible way to die, the terror of which can scarcely be imagined, and there is nothing you can do to stop it unless you have a gas mask, and civilians don’t. The release of this weapon was a calculated and extremely callous act which must be answered – by someone.

It is very clear from the last two years that the other Arab nations are not prepared to stick their necks out and deal with Assad, so it is left up to those nations still left in the world that have a conscience. As usual this is America, Great Britain, and this time France. However, the British people have made it clear they do not want to ‘go to war’, not understanding that we would not be, the attack is nothing more than a ‘shot across the bows’ for Assad, warning him that the use of weapons of mass destruction will not be tolerated in the world. No-one, I repeat no-one has said a word about ‘going to war’ with Syria, that is all in the mind of these poor misguided creatures who think we should do nothing.

If nothing is done to warn Assad against using these weapons, he will continue to use them because he knows he can, and no-one will stop him. It would be foolish for the world to turn its back on what has happened in Syria over the past two weeks, for then at the first sign of trouble, every dictator in the world will start using them if they think it’s necessary.

Agent Orange - An Unprotected Soldier Sprays Agent Orange On Foliage

Agent Orange – An Unprotected Soldier Sprays Agent Orange On Foliage

Many of the commentators began bleating about the American’s using agent Orange during the Vietnam war in which thousands died. They called it a chemical attack without really knowing that it was defoliant used to strip the trees of their leaves so the Communists could not hide under them. When it was first used nobody had any idea of the terrible effects it had on the human body until it was too late. I have seen photo’s of American soldiers on the ground during a spraying and they all got covered in  it. Is the American government so callous that it would kill its own men too? I doubt it. This to me makes it clear that the product was put into service far too quickly without its full effects being known. It was a mistake, and a big one, but I am sure it was not intentional. But the uninformed idiots that occupy Britain these days, most of whom were not even born then, are calling it a chemical attack, when to all intents the only casualties were the trees. It was only later that its disastrous effects on the human body became apparent.

One disillusioned man was even convinced that the whole Arab Spring, including Syria, is a plot by western governments and their “Oligarchs” to take over all the Middle East countries and so get their hands on the oil. He even went further to say that 9/11 was ‘arranged by these same people to stoke up anti-Arab feeling’. How can any sane person with an iota of common sense think such a thing. Its too bizarre for words.

On a different level, it is no surprise that Putin has spoken out about the proposed action, saying in effect that the whole story is western propaganda and there was no gas attack. This comes as no surprise to me, for the Russians have steadfastly vetoed any plans to stop the needless bloodshed in Syria. The reason behind this is that Russia is making billions from trade with Assad, and more importantly, they wish to protect the only naval seaport they have outside the Black Sea in Tartus, Syria.

Russian Warships In The Harbour

Russian Warships In Tartus Harbour

Careful examination of the northern part of the port using Google Earth reveals the truth of this, including one photograph. Putin does not want Assad to be replaced because the Russians know they will lose this port, which will push their Navy back into the Black Sea with its narrow entrance controlled by Turkey. Reason enough to back Assad to the hilt. This is on top of the billions of dollars they make in trade with Syria, including military hardware. China is the other UN member to use its veto, and while they have no military interest in Syria, they do have billions of dollars in trade with Syria.

Arab League In Session

Arab League In Session

Some have argued that the Arab League should shoulder the load of sorting out the problems in Syria, and I agree 100%. It is an Arab problem and they are best suited to solving it, but I think they are afraid they may incur the wrath of the terrorists groups who are distinctly active in the conflict. I have said in previous posts on the subject that I believe they are deeply involved, as they were in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt. Their one goal is to see the whole Arab world, and then the rest of us, as a Muslim State with their barbarous Sharia Law. They will not stop fermenting trouble until they get it.

But that is a side issue because the main thrust of the whole subject is that no-one, I repeat, no-one should be allowed to use chemical weapons with impunity because this will set a precedent for every tin-pot dictator to do as they please.

A Man With A Conscience And A Big Problem

A Man With A Conscience And A Big Problem

The latest news indicates that Barak Obama will now go to Congress to sanction the planned actions against Assad. The result of this may be anticipated by some, but the outcome is by no means certain.

UN Inspector On The Ground

UN Inspector On The Ground

Many, including Labour, are saying we should wait for the outcome of the UN investigation before deciding on action. Many are convinced that it is all a rebel plot to deceive us. What most people fail to realize is that the rebels do not have any aircraft or pilots, and more importantly, no chemical weapons as these are all in the hands of Assad forces. So I fail to see how they could launch such an attack. I am willing to admit that I may be wrong, but as things stand at the moment that is the only conclusion that can be drawn.

The one thing that is clear is that the UN inspectors will make no attempt to provide information on this issue, for their mandate has been purely to establish if chemical weapons were used and nothing more. So even when they bring out their report, which will be delayed by several weeks, it will not change the situation one iota. It will still be a judgement call by western nations.

Areas Of Recent Gas Attacks

Areas Of Recent Gas Attacks

Do not forget that this last attack was by no means the first as there have been many preceding it in other areas. To me it looks like Assad was ‘testing the waters’ with these earlier attacks just to see what the international reaction would be. He got away with them without a big fuss and so decided to go in for the big one. I am sure that if the international community do not react strongly to this latest outrage he will do it again and again.

Much has been said about the West aiding the rebels, but that also is untrue. Any strike by the coalition would not be giving significant aid to them because there would be very few targets attacked. It has never been the intention to ‘rain down’ missiles all over Syria, but merely to take out a small number of selected sites to show Assad that he cannot get away with using WMD on his own people.

A Victim - What If This Was Your Child?

A Victim – What If This Was Your Child?

Commentators have also blamed the rebels for the tragic napalm attack on a school that took place last week after the gas attack. Many children and adults were literally incinerated alive in this attack and many more received up to 90% burns over their bodies. Pictures of the victims abounded on the internet, but still people blamed the rebels, despite them having no means of delivery.

Napalm Cannister

Napalm cannister

Unlike phosphorous, napalm cannot be fired from guns but must be dropped by aircraft. This is because by their very nature, napalm weapons must have very thin walls so as to burst on impact and spread their contents as far as possible, and to try and fire them from an artillery piece would mean they explode in the barrel. For this reason they have to be dropped by aircraft, which the rebels don’t have. From the many comments on this story it is clear that the general public is making up its mind in total ignorance of any knowledge on the subject.

Sadly, this is a dangerous precedent, for it means there will be no censure of Assad outside of useless rhetoric, which he will take as a ‘licence to kill’ and continue the slaughter of innocents. Most people seem to be content to leave it all to the UN, but as we have learned over the years, the UN is a ‘toothless tiger’ that has betrayed its original ideals for the last 70 years. Winston Churchill will be spinning in his grave at the sorry mess it has become.

Roy.

Stop Press: The Express newspaper is currently carrying a headline that says: Senior Syrian military chiefs tell captain: fire chemicals or be shot. While I am sure many of the disbelievers  among the public decry this as government propaganda, I doubt it. According to a high ranking RAF officer:  “The commander of the artillery battery told the regional commander that he would not comply and there was a heated exchange. He was told in direct language that unless the order was carried out, he would be shot. A total of 27 chemical artillery shells were then fired at the suburb in a 14-minute period.”

The conversation was monitored and recorded by British officers based at the remote mountain-top RAF Troodos Signals Intelligence listening post in Cyprus and within minutes details of the conversation had been relayed to GCHQ, Whitehall and the Pentagon according to the Express. I have been to Cyprus with the RAF and I can assure readers that such a monitoring station exists.

This is just another nail in the coffin of Assad for Miliband and all the millions of doubters that are crying for us to stay out of it. The evidence is piling up and there are thousands of such pieces of information that have been gathered on the subject. Pretty soon Miliband, the Labour Party, as well as all the doubters will have a mass of egg on their faces.

Roy.

Should The USA/UK Interfere In Syria?

Posted in Al Quada, America, Arab, Britain, Iran, Obama, Politics, UK, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , on 25/08/2013 by floroy1942

Many of the current headlines indicate that both the American President and our Prime Minister are building up to military intervention in Syria in an attempt to stop the use of chemical weapons. An extremely laudable idea, but is it wise? The Syrian crisis has caused the death of thousands of Syrian people since it began, and there have been suspicions that chemical weapons have been used on several occasions and each side is blaming the other. It is without doubt a serious situation and the end of the conflict is nowhere in sight.

Syria Gas Attacks

Syria Gas Attacks

It is perhaps time that an outside force moved in to stop the violence, but the USA and the UK again? I am sure that would not go down well with other Arab countries especially after the intervention in Iraq and Afghanistan. These two invasions caused much hatred of the USA and the UK in the Arab world, which resulted in bomb attacks in New York, London and Madrid. Admittedly the intervention in Afghanistan was UN sponsored, but still caused resentment from the people because the bulk of the forces were either American or British.

It Is The Rebels Who Are Using Chemical Weapons.

It Is The Rebels Who Are Using Chemical Weapons.

Syria is most assuredly a difficult problem, for American and British intervention would be significant in stopping the needless bloodshed of the Syrian people and save thousands of lives, but must be weighed against the resentment created from other nations.  Iran in particular has warned against such action by saying publicly that ‘the US should not to cross the “red line” on Syria’, adding that such an action, ‘would have “severe consequences”, What those consequences are is anyone’s guess, for unless it resorts to terrorist practices it cannot really strike at the USA.

The Silent Arab Union States

The Silent Arab Union States

What I do find rather mystifying is the silence of the Arab Union states on the question of Syria. Occasionally one or other politician comes out with a half-hearted request for Assad to stop fighting and negotiate a peace deal, but other than that they have remained relatively silent. I would have expected more concrete action from this Arab version of the UN, like embargo’s and real pressure on both sides in Syria to stop fighting, and more importantly, killing innocent civilians. Sadly, they seem a pale reminder of the real UN which has become nothing more than a talking shop these days.

It remains to be seen if the UN will finally take positive action to stop the slaughter in Syria, but after two years, I for one am not hopeful. In political language, the strongest condemnation of the Assad regime has come from President Obama and Prime Minister Cameron this last week, who were quoted as saying, “they were “gravely concerned” about the situation. This is two steps up from ‘concerned’, which is followed by ‘seriously concerned’ in political speak and which indicates they are very unhappy.

 Ayman al-Zawahri - Current al Quada Leader

Ayman al-Zawahri – Current al Quada Leader

We can be fairly certain that if an American/British force take any part in the Syria conflict it will not go down well with the terrorist groups who are looking for any excuse to have another go at us. The al Quada leaders, and every radical Muslim cleric will use it as an excuse to whip up more hatred of the West, and is sure to encourage more young Muslims to enlist as suicide bombers or become fighters. We could see a new wave of bombing attacks, much like London, Madrid and Boston on the cards, and for what, perhaps solving a problem that should be sorted out by the other Arab nations.

Syrian Rebels

Syrian Rebels

Apart from the occasional mild verbal exchange, countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain etc. have done nothing, even though this conflict is happening on their doorstep so to speak, and is a fellow Arab country. They have all steadfastly distance themselves from the entire scenario. Other Arab countries like Iraq and Egypt are not in a position to give an opinion on the Syria conflict for they have internal problems of their own, and interesting to note that other Arab countries are staying out of those problems too. Its like they don’t want to take any responsibility for actions taken to stop these conflicts, but are happy to sit on the side-lines and let the West handle them, and I might add, get all the criticism.

Chemical Gas Attack Victims

Chemical Gas Attack Victims

The only Arab country to so far voice any strong opinions is Iran. This should come as no surprise to anyone for they will use any excuse to have a go at the West, especially America. Another factor is that they are most certainly supplying arms to Syria so do not want to ‘upset the apple cart’ and hit their profits. Another advantage for them is that it is successfully diverting world attention away from their own nuclear ambitions. Notice that there has been practically no mention of Iran’s nuclear ambitions in the world press for months now as everyone concentrates on getting the most they can out of the Syria story!

The UN - All Teeth But No Bite!

The UN – All Teeth But No Bite!

It would seem to me that the only way the world can put a stop to this situation is for the Untied Nations to start acting in the way first intended by its founder, Winston Churchill. At least half the world’s nations should contribute to a UN Force that will go in and separate the two sides and negotiate a peace deal. It should not be left up to America and Britain to supply the greatest bulk of the forces as happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. Nations should be strongly represented by at least a thousand men and associated equipment, although smaller countries would provide something proportionate to their size and available military forces. There are at least 189 independent countries in the world (estimates vary) which means, discounting the very small ones, something in the region of perhaps 150,000 man UN Force could be assembled, which would be more than enough to control Syria. It is quite possible that even the threat of such a move would be sufficient to stop the fighting. Strong UN intervention would not only stop the civil war, but also, if it is proven that Assad actually used chemical weapons then he and his generals could be brought before a UN court to face justice. Naturally, if it was in fact the rebels then they would face justice.

The Russian Fleet Harbour In Syria

The Russian Fleet Harbour In Syria

Naturally, none of this will ever happen for several reasons. Instead of being a force for peace and justice in the world as was originally envisaged, The UN has become nothing more than a toothless tiger, a talking shop where politicians the world over can debate for endless hours without taking any decisions, and do not need to take action on anything. Another reason is the veto exercised by both Russia and China to protect their own investments and trade with the Assad regime. Russia fears it will lose not only billions of dollars worth of trade and arms sales to Syria, but also its only naval base outside the Black Sea. China on the other hand also has a multi-billion trade deal with the Assad regime.

Ethiopian Soldiers Fighting In Korea

Ethiopian Soldiers Fighting In Korea

I can already hear the comments of some bright person who will say that to assemble an international force on the scale laid out above will be nigh on impossible because of the logistics involved. So are we saying that our grandfathers were more capable than we are today, given what they had to work with at the time? The same thing happened with the Korean War in which 22 nations took part, even tiny Luxemburg. That was the only time when the UN acted as it is supposed to do and it stopped the whole of the Korean peninsular becoming like the North is today. Given our much increased logistic capabilities today why can we not make it happen? There are sufficient assembly areas in neighbouring countries like Jordan and Turkey and a two pronged attack is a good way to go if the two sides do not lay down their arms. The forces stay until peace has been established and an interim government is installed, and then leave.

It sounds simple and I know it is not, but this is the only way for the UN to resolve disputes when war breaks out and ensure that the nations on Earth can live in peace with each other.

There can be little doubt that if America and Britain, even with the help of the French, were to ‘invade’ Syria the repercussions could be significant, and drive yet another wedge between the Muslims and Western countries.

Roy.

News Flash:-

Its amazing how just a few short hours can change things. Since I posted this article the US and Britain, along with France have stated that they are planning military action against the Assad regime within the next two weeks according to The Independent. The action will most likely be restricted to missile strikes from the US Carrier Force stationed in the Eastern Mediterranean on strategic government targets in Syria.

William Hague - Britain's Foreign Minister

William Hague – Britain’s Foreign Minister

The British Foreign Minister, William Hague, has said, “We cannot in the 21st century allow the idea that chemical weapons can be used with impunity and there are no consequences,” Another  Downing Street source said: “We intend to show that an attack of this nature will not pass without a serious response.”

American Carrier Fleet

American Carrier Fleet

At this time it is anticipated that all strikes will be with missiles and no ground troops or aircraft will be employed. Although the action will come from the American Naval Fleet, both Britain and France stand together with America politically in this action. Should the strike actually take place, we can all expect a reaction from Iran which can range from threats to subversive action, and there is a likely possibility of terrorist reprisal.

This step has been taken because of the four day delay by Syrian government forces in allowing the UN Inspection Team on the ground to visit and assess the area of the latest outrage. The three leaders are convinced this delay was to allow Assad forces time to remove incriminating evidence.

Roy.

The Unseen Dangers of the Arab Spring

Posted in Al Quada, Arab, Insurgents, Islamic Revolution, Muslim, Somaila, Terrorism, United Nations with tags , , , , , , on 12/02/2012 by floroy1942

On 17 December 2010 Mohamed Bouazizi, a 26 year old Tunisian street vendor set himself alight in protest at the confiscation of his wares, and the harassment and humiliation that he reported was inflicted on him by a municipal official and her aides. There was no way he could foresee the wave of unrest that followed his action across the arab world.

Mohamed Bouazizi - The Catalyst

It led to the downfall of the Tunisian President, El Abadine Ben Ali, followed later by Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Muhamar Gaddafi of Libya and President Ali Abdulla Saleh of Yemen. It had far reaching effects on the political scene in many more arab countries where governmental changes were hastened after protests. Protests in Jordan led King Abdullah to sack two governments in an effort to stave off major disruptions in the country.

Syrian Tanks Fire on Homs

Now everyone is concentrating on Syria, where despite condemnation by the Arab League and a lot of talk at the UN, President Assad is trying desperately to put down what amounts to a fully fledged rebellion in the country. Accusations fly thick and fast from the government, saying the problems are being caused by ‘outside elements’, while the protesters shout to the world the daily death toll at the hands of their armed forces.

Today a Syrian general was assassinated outside his home by armed gunmen. The government say these men were an “armed terrorist group”, and it is possible. Not surprisingly, no group has claimed responsibility for the attack. Naturally this does not detract from the fact that around 7000 civilians have been killed by government forces over the past months.

Assad

What the outcome will be in Syria is anyone’s guess, but it seems the regime’s days are numbered. The question that should now be asked is: Will Assad and his entourage ever be brought before the International Court for crimes against humanity, seeing as his armed forces are killing unarmed civilians with tanks and artillery? His days must surely be numbered, for he even has neighbouring arab states against him now. Once he has been subdued, will that be the end of the arab spring I wonder?

There has been death on the streets of many arab countries outside those already mentioned, like Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Mauritania and Lebanon. In many cases it has been sectarian in nature. There seems to be no love between Sunni and Shi’ite muslims in the arab world and they seem to be increasingly ‘having a go’ at the opposition.

Saudi Protests

In many nations, like Bahrain, which is ruled by the Sunni al Khalifa family, 70-75% of the people are Shia. In Syria we see an Alewite (an offshoot of Sunni) presiding over a population that is 74% Shia. Often in recent times this has led to friction. In Qatif, the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia, which is home to a Shia majority, they complained of marginalisation at the hands of the Sunni ruling family.

The situation in Saudi Arabia is the most troubling for it is staunchly pro-western and is of course the world’s largest supplier of oil. Trouble is brewing in the Qatif region in eastern Saudi where one protester was shot by police who said they were shot at by gunmen. An identical event took place earlier in the town of Qatif. Not surprisingly it is small actions like this that inflame people into taking part in large scale protests at the deaths, which can lead to a similar action by the police. Once the fire is lit, it can be hard to put out.

It is without doubt that the entire region was stable until one lowly street vendor decided to set himself alight in protest, now what the future holds for the arab world is anyone’s guess. Egypt and Libya are still in turmoil, which to be honest, looks like continuing throughout the rest of this year. There is also unrest in the other countries mentioned, which could take no more than a small spark to ignite. Meanwhile, we stand on the sidelines waiting to see what happens next.

What Is He Up to Now?

An ‘un-named’ US official has let it be known that there could be al Quada fighters from Iraq in Syria busy at work stoking up tensions. It is suggested they were responsible for two bombing, and were likely involved in the attacks that took place in Aleppo. When you look at it from a distance, this is possible. I only say possible, for logic dictates that if al Quada can bring down what was, until recently, a stable government and cause mayhem, they stand to make great gains while the country is in limbo, trying to find its way to a proper government.

The possibility that this is a new tactic of al Quada is not so far fetched, so let’s kick it around for a moment. 

What would happen if this Islamic group managed to get into the government of many of the arab countries? As in other places, it starts with one or two people in high positions who work behind the scenes to pave the way for more members and end up taking over. We have seen exactly this scenario take place within the Tower Hamlets Council of London. Al Quada is now aligned with the rebels in Somalia, and obviously they see the possibility of political gains in the country. Therefore, it is by no means a huge stretch of the imagination to see this happening in Syria and perhaps, at a later date, other arab states.

Who Knows What the Future Holds

This is all conjecture, but what would happen to world peace if such an event were to happen? A very disturbing thought indeed. I dread to think what will happen in the future if such a situation actually occurs. Islamic fundamentalist governments controlling most of the world’s oil? Such an event would be catastrophic, and I am glad I will not be around to say “I told you so”! Governments the world over need to pay more attention to the march of Islam, for if they don’t, we could see catastrophic times ahead, for in the long-term, it is always the people who suffer in these power struggles.

Roy.

14/2/12 Update: With the latest news it seems the ideas set forward in this post may not be so far-fetched after all. Yesterday Ayman al-Zawahri, bin Laden’s deputy and now leader of al Quada came out and urged all Muslims in Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey to join the uprising against what he called Mr. Assad’s “pernicious, cancerous regime.” Senior Iraqi officials have commented that a steady flow of men linked to al Quada, as well as arms have been flowing over the border into Syria for four months. Regarding the two car bombs that went off in Aleppo last week, it has been remarked that these attacks bear the trademark of al Quada. So maybe this terrorist group is trying to make political capital out of the Syrian mess.  

Is the Arab League Impotent?

Posted in Arab, Muslim, Security Council, UK, UN, USA with tags , , , , , , on 22/01/2012 by floroy1942

Much has been written about Syria and the Arab League handling of the on-going crisis, but to this bystander it comes as no surprise that they seem powerless to stop the killing of innocent civilians by government forces. There can be little doubt that President Assad is tremendously unpopular in Syria and the people hoped for a new beginning much as happened in Tunisia and Egypt. It has become clear that Assad is made of sterner stuff than Ben Ali or Mubarak, for it is obvious he will not give up his hold on power without a fight.

A Young Girl Casualty

When the first rumblings occurred some ten months ago, Assad sent his bully-boys out on to the streets to quell the unrest but since then things have escalated out of all proportion as the opposition refused to give up. To date it is estimated that more than five thousand people have been killed in Syria by government forces and the number continues to rise despite the best efforts of the international community to stop it.

They Who Have Eyes And Yet Cannot See

After months of wrangling, the League decided to send in observers, but as we now know, their presence was completely ignored and the killing continued. Despite all the assurances given by Assad to the League, and all the promises to end the violence, it goes on day after day. Now the League is sending the monitors back for a further month, although Saudi Arabia and Qatar, who are regional rivals to Syria have said they would like to see Arab peacekeeping troops in Syria. Many seem content for the observer mission to continue and some want UN intervention, but as usual, politics gets in the way.

Army Fired on Demonstrators in Front of the Monitors

I, like most people, want the killing to stop and a just settlement to be reached, but I don’t think the UN is the answer, except as a last resort. It is after all an Arab problem and they should solve it themselves. If the UN steps in, it will be countries like the USA, Britain, Germany, France, Canada etc. that will have to shoulder most of the load in any UN action as usual. This fact alone will be sufficient to raise the hackles of the majority of Muslims as they see this as another ‘Infidel’ interference in Arab affairs. In short, this will go some way to enhancing the terrorist cause in some people’s eyes.

Protest Banner Plea to the UN

So now we must wait and see if the monitors can stop the violence on their second try, though I don’t think we will see much change. Having the observers in the country will be nothing more than a ‘face-saving’ gesture by the League and will certainly give Assad more time to remove his opponents. Those fighting in the streets of Syrian towns and cities must surely be ready to give up on international intervention to stop the killing, for it is certain the Arab League observers have not been able to. It is the people who have made desperate appeals to the League for the UN to intervene, which of course has fallen on deaf ears. It is certain that without the approval of the Arab League the UN can do nothing.

Hmm! What Can I Promise the League Next to Keep Them Off My Back?

Many Western nations have shown their disapproval of Assad’s actions by placing sanctions on Syria but these alone will have little effect on the crisis. It is for sure they will not be able to take any positive action without UN and Arab League approval, and must stand on the sidelines awaiting developments. In my view, the best option all round is for the Saudi/Qatar solution to be implemented as soon as possible, for it is an Arab problem which should be solved by Arab countries. It is a tricky situation with little or no hope of an answer until the League decides on what to do further.  

Roy.

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