Archive for NATO

Should We Arm The Libyan Rebels?

Posted in Al Quada, Arab, Britain, England, Europe, Muslim, Obama, President, Security Council, Terrorism, UK, UN, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , , , , , on 30/03/2011 by floroy1942

President Obama has raised the question of whether or not the Coalition should arm the rebels fighting Gaddafi. That I fear is very dangerous ground!

M136 AT4 Light Anti-Tank Weapon

First of all, arm them with what? Modern anti-tank weapons (i.e. missiles)would be a good idea, and perhaps some artillery pieces, maybe even a tank or two, but what then? Do we follow this up with technical experts to teach them how to fire the darned things.

AT4 Anti-Tank Video:

 http://www.youtube.com/embed/Q3xsMqHu56g

While it is without doubt in the interests of many countries to see Gaddafi gone, the road to achieving that is a slippery slope unless great caution is exercised. The objective of the UN mandate is clear; “Protect civilian lives from aggressive action by Gaddafi’s forces”. Arming the rebels does not, in my view, come under that heading.

The Security Council Votes

That whole scenario would be going way over the top of the UN Resolution, and bring down upon the Coalition severe condemnation from the vultures sitting on the sidelines sharpening their long knives waiting for us to trip up, make no mistake.

The original intention was good, and you can forget all the ‘lefty’ accusations of ‘it’s all about the oil’. The Coalition has now put itself in the position of being on trial, certainly within the Arab world and the African continent.

The Arab League Waits....

The Middle East countries are sitting on the fence waiting to see if the West will (a) stick to the mandate, or (b) meddle in Libyan internal affairs by actively assisting the rebels, and (c) try to enforce democracy afterwards. We are coming very close to the limits of the Mandate and may even already have overstepped them by actively assisting the rebels with the air strikes.

It has become abundantly clear that the Libyan dictator will not go quietly, he will fight to the last man and will have to be removed by force. If he does win, you can bet his vengeance will not only be levelled at the rebels and Benghazi, but also the Western Alliance. He is quite capable of opening his door to al Quada and giving them a base from which to operate.

Rebels In Retreat....Again!

The sad thing is the rebels do not seem capable of winning without more intervention by the Coalition, particularly in light of the reverses they have suffered in recent days.

Rebel Retreat:

 http://www.youtube.com/embed/_rrDAt-ejL4

Apart from the fact they are a ‘rag-tag army’ of civilians without any military training whatsoever, they have no leadership, no chain of command, or coördination of effort. In the long-term, they have little or no chance of success against a properly trained army such as the one that fights for Gaddafi, and no amount of aerial bombardment by the coalition will change that.

I reiterate what I have said in earlier posts, i.e. that the UN resolution came far too late. Had it been granted even one week earlier the situation on the ground could have been much different. But there is ‘no point in crying over spilt milk’ as they say, we must make the best of what we have, which to be honest, is not a lot.

Is He Giving Us Two Fingers?

It remains to be seen what the eventual outcome of the affair will be, but I have a nasty feeling the Alliance will not come out of it ‘smelling like roses’. There is still a lot of work to be done, and a lot of it depends on how far the UN, the Arab League and the African Union are prepared to back NATO and the Alliance in achieving the removal of Gaddafi.

Roy.

 

Gaddafi Upstages the UN and NATO

Posted in Al Quada, Arab, Britain, England, Europe, Human Rights, Insanity, Muslim, Security Council, Terrorism, UK, UN, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , , , , on 19/03/2011 by floroy1942

Say what you like about Gaddafi, but he is a wily old coyote! When the announcement was made about the UN backed no-fly zone, he immediately pulled a master stroke by announcing a ceasefire with the rebels, thereby successfully delaying any punitive action by NATO and Arab League forces.

Gaddafi The Cunning Fox!

This clever move has brought him a precious 24 hours in which to insert his troops into the outskirts of the city of Benghazi and other rebel held towns. Any intelligent person will now realise he has successfully cancelled out any chance of an attack on these forces, because to do so would mean attacking built-up areas with the huge risk of civilian casualties.

The People Of Benghazi

Gaddafi does not care if civilians are killed, but the world will roundly condemn any casualties caused by alliance troops, and terrorist groups like al Quada will use any mistakes made to foster anti-west feeling in the arab world. The UN decision was far too late to save the situation in Libya.

As I stated in my last post:

(https://floroy1942.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/libya-the-great-betrayal/)

Had this decision for action been made even four days ago, Gaddafi’s troops would not have been in range of Benghazi and could easily have been stopped in their tracks. Now it is too late!

With his troops in the suburbs of the city, does anyone imagine for a minute that those forces will honour the ceasefire? Not on your life! They will not rest until every rebel in the city is dead or captured, unless help can be given to the protesters that does not entail bombing from the sky.

The 'Decision' Makers

Sure we can stop any overflights and bombings, and maybe even the artillery lined up outside the city, but that will do nothing to alleviate the pressures being put on the rebels by mercenaries and tanks already in the city streets.

From his own lips we have heard how ruthless he will be when it comes to dealing with the remnants of the rebel forces. There can be little doubt that despite all his protestations of innocence, it will be a massacre.

Dictators like Gaddafi do not take kindly to insurrection, as can be witnessed in Bahrain, Syria and Yemen for example. Any form of protest has quickly been put down by security forces with ‘no holds barred’.

Tank On The Streets Of Benghazi

I believe Gaddafi was caught totally unawares, and as Libya is so large it would be difficult to takes the necessary steps to quell unrest immediately. However, we now have a situation where the rebels are firmly established, but sadly, are being beaten by the African mercenaries hired by Gaddafi.

The Arab League has already stated that it will not accept foreign troops on Libyan soil, and this call has been echoed by the rebels themselves. So while being given a wide ranging mandate for the protection of civilians, it still ties the hands of the coalition when it comes to Gaddafi’s forces already in Benghazi and other rebel held towns along the coast. It quickly becomes evident that by pulling his ‘ceasefire’ trick, Gaddafi has upstaged the UN, the Arab League, and NATO.

Roy.

Related Posts:

https://floroy1942.wordpress.com/2011/03/08/an-enforced-libyan-no-fly-zone-is-it-wise/

https://floroy1942.wordpress.com/2011/03/12/the-un-europe-and-arab-league-on-libya-blah-blah-blah/

Update: Sunday 20/3/2011: Thanks to an overnight barrage of Tomahawk missiles on the air defence systems, and attacks on military hardware on the road to Benghazi, the attacks appear to have stopped. This is probably more a question of the soldiers themselves not wishing to face Tornado and Mirage jets sat in a steel coffin, than Gaddafi’s will to stop fighting. The latest news reports say that Gaddafi forces are now in the centre of Misratah as well as in Benghazi, so it remains to be seen what the Alliance can do to stop their attacks. This may prove a hard task, and will take some considerable time.

 

 

The UN, Europe and Arab League on Libya-Blah Blah Blah!

Posted in Arab, Britain, England, Europe, Germany, Government, Immigration, Muslim, Obama, Security Council, UK, United Nations, USA with tags , , , , on 12/03/2011 by floroy1942

How typical of all the world’s political bodies that they talk and talk while people are dying! The crisis in Libya has reached a stage where Gaddafi is openly using his aircraft, artillery and tanks to put down the uprising, and all the world’s politicians can do is ‘flap their lips’.

As in my previous post on the subject, ( https://floroy1942.wordpress.com/2011/03/08/an-enforced-libyan-no-fly-zone-is-it-wise/)  I still believe there is little the USA and Europe can do without the backing of the UN, or at least the Arab League.

Against Mig FIghter-Bombers???

Even the UN, after its initial condemnation of Gaddafi’s reaction to the uprising, has remained silent, and only the US, NATO and Europe seem to care what is going on there.

YouTube – Britain, France and US plan Libya response.

Another group who have been silent during the whole saga is the Arab League. Saudi Arabia, perhaps the most capable military force among arab nations and one that has the capability to put a stop to Gaffafi, has restricted itself to worrying about the price of oil. They have restricted their response to issuing communiques to reassure the west they will increase production if required. Nothing useful on the Libyan crisis or the no-fly zone, it’s as if it isn’t happening, and that goes for other arab countries also.

At the moment they are talking about what to do but not doing anything constructive to stop it, just like the UN. To the best of my knowledge there does not even seem to have been any diplomatic contact with Gaddafi by the arab nations, although Gaddafi has sent one of his top generals to Egypt for consultation with the military rulers.

The world’s leaders seem to be united, up to a point, on the fact that the violence must stop, but so far as taking united action is concerned, forget it!. Meanwhile, people are dying on the ground and Europe is facing a huge refugee crisis.

For Gaza You Can Read Libya!!!

In this authors opinion, the only people who can stop the violence are the members of the Arab League, but at the same time they say they do not wish for foreign interference. It is after all an arab nation and an arab problem, but I suppose like politicians everywhere, they will sit on the fence until it is all over and the rebels are dead.

Arab League rejects foreign intervention in Libya – video | World news | guardian.co.uk.

Revenge Will Be Mine!

There can be little doubt in my mind that Gadaffi will exact a terrible revenge on his people once the fighting is over. I am convinced he will ‘clean house’ by exterminating all those who have opposed him, for he is a man capable of ruthlessness which will manifest itself. His mercenaries will be let loose on the common folk of the east and we will see a bloodbath and mass disappearances, certainly of anyone associated with the leaders of the uprising. I am sure it will be ‘no holds barred’ when the time comes.

No-one can doubt that victory will be his without international intervention, for the rebels cannot hope to sustain their campaign against the forces allied against them. It may be a matter of weeks, or even days before they fall before the onslaught of Gaddafi’s mercenary forces with their planes, tanks and artillery.

It all brings to mind the Warsaw Ghetto uprising during WW2, when the Russians halted their advance a few scant miles from the city while the Polish Resistance fought alone against a whole German Division and were massacred. More recently, the  methods used by Saddam Hussein to put down the Kurds can be compared.

YouTube – Kurdish Genocide – 1988 Thousands die in Halabja gas attack(BBC) — Massacre Halabja New Video. (Note: Not for the faint hearted)

Help Us!

If you stretch your mind to the Libyan situation after the crisis ends, in particular if it comes about by foreign intervention, we will see another set of problems. How can a people so divided as they are at present be united. The areas around Tripoli are staunch Gaddafi supporters, evidenced by their willingness to support him, while the rest are ardent opponents and want him gone. When two factions within a country are so opposed it will be difficult to unite them under any form of leadership. I can see bitter struggles developing between the two sides before peace returns to this North African nation.

In the meantime the UN and arab nations continue to prevaricate and the hands of countries willing to help are tied. I watch events with bated breath, and hope that someone, somewhere, will have the guts to make a swift decision to end the useless slaughter.

Roy.

Update: Saturday 12 March: 1800 CET.

The Arab League Nations

It has been announced today that the Arab League of nations has finally agreed to a no-fly zone for Libya. It has taken weeks of ‘chin wagging’, but finally the die is cast. The League also announced they are not in a position to enforce the no-fly zone themselves, but have by all accounts agreed that western nations could provide the air cover necessary.

The ball is now firmly in the hands of US, EU and NATO officials who must decide on when, how, and if such a thing is possible. The US had already said it is reluctant to begin such an exercise due to the risk of being embroiled in a long drawn-out war as in Iraq and Afghanistan, for to begin such an event will require attacks to knock-out Libya’s missile defences and airfields. Like you, I now wait for developments.

Taliban Revert to Human Shields

Posted in Afghanistan, Arab, Britain, Gaza and Hamas, Human Rights, Islamic Revolution, Muslim, Palestine, Taliban, Terrorism, Terrorists, UK with tags , , , , , , , , , , on 19/02/2010 by floroy1942

Once again the Taliban is reverting to its usual tactics when things do not  go their way. A news report from Afghanistan is saying that once again they are using human shields in the fight against NATO Forces.

Taliban Human Shields

It is a tactic synonymous with guerilla fighting over the past twenty years, and has been put to good use by insurgents in many parts of the world. It was used by Hamas in Gaza last year, and by the Hezbollah in Lebanon before that. When the going gets tough, line up the civilians and create as many innocent victims as possible! There are those that will deny this, but there is more than sufficient photo evidence to prove it.

All these terror groups are well aware of the propaganda value civilian deaths have on world and public opinion, and it is sad that most people cannot tell the difference between human shield deaths and accidental deaths. Many see the headline “12 Civilians Killed” and are immediately filled with righteous indignation at the cowardly armed forces who shoot innocent civilians, not thinking that the whole scenario was engineered by the insurgents. The extremists are fully capable of exploiting this fact, and as we all know, it is only when, for example, the Israeli’s shoot a civilian that it makes banner headlines across the world. To me, it proves yet again these insurgents are not fighting for ‘their people’ as they claim, but purely for their own gain.

Some may presuppose all this is NATO propaganda, but this time the reports come from the senior Afghan Commander, not the Americans or British.

The reports indicate that Taliban fighters have been lining civilians up on rooftops and then firing from behind them. Afghan soldiers have seen women and children in the windows of houses from which these brave ‘freedom fighters’ have been firing. It has made things extremely difficult for the troops as they have to put themselves in extra danger in an effort to prevent these civilians casualties. The Taliban tactic is working, because it has now slowed the rate of advance of NATO forces into the city of Murjah.

Hamas Human Shields

Today’s news has also revealed another Taliban tactic aimed at the American and British forces facing them. Afghan soldiers have found burnt copies of the Koran, the Muslim ‘Bible’, at positions they have vacated. Once more they are attempting to generate hatred of the NATO forces among the local population because to burn the Quaran is considered a great insult to Islam.

The usual Human Rights groups, led by Amnesty International have of course jumped on the bandwagon. A statement by the group said that NATO “lacked a credible mechanism” to investigate claims of civilian deaths. It went further to say that the use of human shields by the Taliban was “inexcusable”, and “could constitute a war crime”. Only ‘inexcusable’, and ‘could’ be a war crime? If the NATO forces had used human shields they would have been screaming their heads off. But once again, as in Gaza last year, Amnesty can be very selective in its criticism which is why I have lost all respect for this group of individuals

Human Shields

It urged both sides to ‘comply with legal obligations to protect the thousands of displaced civilians and those still trapped in areas of intense fighting’. They should make sure the Taliban know of their concern for the NATO forces are well aware of their obligations. What a pity the Taliban neither care nor take notice of these outbursts by a group that has had its image tarnished by its one-sided outbursts in recent years.

You are wasting your breath if you try to appeal to the better nature of the Taliban because they, like all extremists, do not have one. They are fanatics who are ready to blow themselves up for their beliefs so why should they balk at the idea of a few civilian deaths. Once Amnesty gets its collective mind around that one they may change their tune.

The use of human shields is not old, it is a phenomenon of our times started by insurgents and extremists as a way to create the maximum of bad publicity for their enemies, and to save their own skins. In general, the Israeli’s had to bear the brunt of the bad publicity for this tactic as it was used to such good effect by Hezbollah and Hamas against them. But for most people they are not the bad guys, the Israeli’s are.

How sad people do not want to recognise the truth.

Roy.

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