Archive for international negotiations

Is Time Running Out For the USA and Israel?

Posted in Iran, Islamic Revolution, Israel, Nuclear Weapons, Security Council, UN, United Nations, USA with tags , , , on 08/01/2012 by floroy1942

Ouch! The latest news from Iran is going to cause consternation in both Washington and Tel Aviv because the Iranians have just announced their underground nuclear facility at Fordow is beginning production of enriched uranium! This will considerably narrow the window for offensive operations by both parties if they wish to halt Iran’s nuclear weapons programme.

Fordow Enrichment Facility

Although the Iranian government strongly denies their nuclear programme is for weapons, all the evidence enforces the contrary and to put it bluntly, no-one believes them! Iran has already admitted enriching uranium to 20% which is far beyond the 3.5% required for a nuclear reactor to generate power. Their excuse is this highly enriched material is necessary for ‘medical purposes’ like X-Ray machines. Yea Right!!!!

While western scientists agree that uranium requires enrichment to 90% for a nuclear device, the fact that Iran has already reached 20% means they are on the fast track to full enrichment.

Next With a Nuclear Weapon On It?

Just about any intelligent person will realise the danger to world peace of a radical Islamic nation with nuclear weapons, and that is reason enough for all nations to step in and say no. Unfortunately the only ones likely to do this are the USA and Israel, both of whom could expect to be the target of a nuclear Iran.

So long as all the facilities remain above ground these two countries can put an end to Iran’s nuclear ambitions whenever they wish with Tomahawk missiles, but once the production of fissionable material goes deep underground it makes it that much harder to destroy.

Skilful Delaying Tactics At The UN

International negotiations have gone on now for several years in an effort to stop Iran’s nuclear programme, but all that has come out of Iran is vague promises and prevarication that even an idiot could see was nothing more than an effort to gain time. Now we are rapidly approaching the crunch!

Any overt action against Iran, be it from the USA or Israel, will be classified as an act of aggression on the international stage and as an act of war by Iran. No matter how much the other nations breathe a sigh of relief at such an event, they will be forced to back Iran on the world stage at the UN.

Israeli Missile Test

There is little doubt that military action will be necessary to force the Islamic country to back down from its nuclear ambitions, which are to be a key player internationally, and the dominant power in the Middle East. Iran has made it very clear that nothing will dissuade  them. The country is already under severe UN sanctions and more are piling up by the week, but still they refuse to back down.

Considering that much of the world’s oil comes from the Middle East this can be seen as a major threat, although it must be said that western nations do not rely on this source as much as Asia.

Straits of Hormuz Oil Traffic

Recently, during military exercises in the Gulf obviously meant to impress everyone, the Iranian government threatened to close the Straits of Hormuz through which most of the world’s oil is transported. It didn’t come to that, and such an act would have been very short lived for it is something they could not hope to sustain for more than a day.

So now the eyes of the world will be focussed on Israel and the United States to see what these two powerful nations will do to counteract the threat of Iran’s nuclear programme going underground. If they do in fact plan any military intervention it will be necessary to act before the full move from the current site, the easily targeted Natanz, takes place.

Watch this space!!!!!!

Roy.

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