Ukraine – A Simple Solution

I believe Vladimir Putin has only one thing on his mind when it comes to the Ukraine, and all western nations, including Ukraine, could defuse the whole problem with one simple move.

With almost every nation except China condemning the Russian occupation of Crimea, no-one seems capable of asking why. All we hear from politicians and the Press on both sides of the Atlantic is about Russian aggression.

Russian Bases In The Crimea

Russian Bases In The Crimea

Stand-off

Stand-off

The Russian forces have occupied only the island of Crimea on the pretext of ‘protecting Russian speakers from the new government in Kiev’. But why only Crimea? Much of the eastern part of the country has Russian speakers but they are making no moves to ‘protect’ them.

As I said in my last post, the real reason for the ‘invasion’ is that Putin does not wish to lose his Black Sea naval base in Sevastopol. This base, and the small harbour in Tartus Syria, which is also under threat, are the only outlets for the Russian navy into the Mediterranean and the belly of Europe. Should Russia lose these two bases, the navy will be forced to move to either Murmansk in the Arctic Circle, or Vladivostok on Russia’s Pacific coast. For the Russians this would be a strategic nightmare in the event of trouble on the European continent.

Sevastopol Navy Base

Sevastopol Navy Base

Instead of throwing insults and the threat of sanctions at each other, the western nations involved, Ukraine, the USA, Britain, France and Germany, would be far better off negotiating international guarantees about the continuation of the Soviet naval base in Sevastopol.

This one act would take the wind out of Putin’s sails and guarantee the integrity of Ukraine.

Roy.

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